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Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET · 113 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 113 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 9 h 40 min before kickoff. Portland Timbers opened as the favorite at 2.36 (+136) and drifted to 2.52 (+152). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Portland Timbers 41% → 38%, draw 25% → 25%, Minnesota United 34% → 36%. The Asian handicap moved from Portland Timbers -0.25 to Portland Timbers 0. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 9 h 5 min before kickoff: Minnesota United went from 34% to 35% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Portland Timbers2.36 (+136)2.52 (+152)
Draw3.81 (+281)3.85 (+285)
Minnesota United2.89 (+189)2.65 (+165)
Asian handicapPortland Timbers -0.25 · 2.07 (+107)Portland Timbers 0 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.07 (+107)O/U 3.25 · over 2.02 (+102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%29%37%44%Portland Timbers 38%Draw 25%Minnesota United 36%
Asian handicap · Portland Timbers
-0.250-0.25 → 0
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).