Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama — odds movement
Sep 6, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC · 83 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 83 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 7 h 10 min before kickoff. Fluminense opened as the favorite at 2.30 (+130) and drifted to 2.49 (+149). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fluminense 42% → 39%, draw 29% → 31%, Vasco da Gama 28% → 30%. The Asian handicap held at Fluminense -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 2 h 45 min before kickoff: Fluminense went from 41% to 39% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Fluminense | 2.30 (+130) | 2.49 (+149) |
| Draw | 3.29 (+229) | 3.15 (+215) |
| Vasco da Gama | 3.40 (+240) | 3.19 (+219) |
| Asian handicap | Fluminense -0.25 · 1.96 (-104) | Fluminense -0.25 · 2.11 (+111) |
| Total | O/U 2.25 · over 1.92 (-109) | O/U 2.25 · over 2.00 (+100) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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