Palmeiras vs Corinthians — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Palmeiras opened as the favorite at 1.61 (-163) and drifted to 1.66 (-152). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Palmeiras 59% → 58%, draw 26% → 26%, Corinthians 15% → 15%. The Asian handicap held at Palmeiras -0.75 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 20 h 50 min before kickoff: Palmeiras went from 59% to 57% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Palmeiras | 1.61 (-163) | 1.66 (-152) |
| Draw | 3.68 (+268) | 3.66 (+266) |
| Corinthians | 6.20 (+520) | 6.24 (+524) |
| Asian handicap | Palmeiras -0.75 · 1.80 (-125) | Palmeiras -0.75 · 1.86 (-116) |
| Total | O/U 2.25 · over 1.88 (-114) | O/U 2.25 · over 1.99 (-101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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