Oct 9, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC · 646 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 646 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Palmeiras opened as the favorite at 1.56 (-177) and shortened to 1.55 (-182). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Palmeiras 61% → 62%, draw 22% → 21%, Bahia 17% → 16%. The Asian handicap held at Palmeiras -1 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Palmeiras
1.56 (-177)
1.55 (-182)
Draw
4.34 (+334)
4.53 (+353)
Bahia
5.48 (+448)
5.90 (+490)
Asian handicap
Palmeiras -1 · 1.95 (-105)
Palmeiras -1 · 1.91 (-110)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-120)
O/U 3 · over 2.00 (+100)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Palmeiras
Total (over/under)
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