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Fluminense vs Coritiba — odds movement

Oct 9, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC · 490 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 490 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Fluminense opened as the favorite at 1.50 (-200) and shortened to 1.47 (-213). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fluminense 63% → 66%, draw 22% → 21%, Coritiba 14% → 14%. The Asian handicap moved from Fluminense -1 to Fluminense -1.25. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fluminense1.50 (-200)1.47 (-213)
Draw4.28 (+328)4.66 (+366)
Coritiba6.58 (+558)7.10 (+610)
Asian handicapFluminense -1 · 1.86 (-116)Fluminense -1.25 · 2.08 (+108)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.90 (-111)O/U 2.75 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
4%28%52%76%Fluminense 66%Draw 21%Coritiba 14%
Asian handicap · Fluminense
-1.25-1-1 → -1.25
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).