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Gremio vs Internacional — odds movement

Oct 11, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Internacional opened as the favorite at 2.37 (+137) and drifted to 2.69 (+169). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Gremio 32% → 35%, draw 27% → 29%, Internacional 40% → 36%. The Asian handicap moved from Gremio +0.25 to Gremio 0. The total moved down from 2.5 to 2.25. The sharpest single move came 40 minutes before kickoff: Gremio went from 32% to 35% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Gremio2.94 (+194)2.79 (+179)
Draw3.48 (+248)3.28 (+228)
Internacional2.37 (+137)2.69 (+169)
Asian handicapGremio +0.25 · 1.81 (-124)Gremio 0 · 1.99 (-101)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 2.25 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
25%31%37%43%Gremio 35%Draw 29%Internacional 36%
Asian handicap · Gremio
0+0.25+0.25 → 0
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.5 → 2.25

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