Scan with your phone camera Bahia vs Mirassol — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Bahia opened as the favorite at 1.71 (-140) and shortened to 1.69 (-144). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bahia 55% → 57%, draw 24% → 24%, Mirassol 21% → 20%. The Asian handicap held at Bahia -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Bahia | 1.71 (-140) | 1.69 (-144) |
| Draw | 4.02 (+302) | 4.10 (+310) |
| Mirassol | 4.55 (+355) | 4.94 (+394) |
| Asian handicap | Bahia -0.75 · 1.93 (-108) | Bahia -0.75 · 1.89 (-112) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117) | O/U 3 · over 2.05 (+105) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).