Scan with your phone camera Sao Paulo vs Vitoria — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Sao Paulo opened as the favorite at 1.65 (-154) and drifted to 1.75 (-133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sao Paulo 58% → 55%, draw 25% → 27%, Vitoria 18% → 18%. The Asian handicap held at Sao Paulo -0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.5 to 2.25. The sharpest single move came 18 h 60 min before kickoff: Sao Paulo went from 57% to 60% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Sao Paulo | 1.65 (-154) | 1.75 (-133) |
| Draw | 3.86 (+286) | 3.56 (+256) |
| Vitoria | 5.35 (+435) | 5.41 (+441) |
| Asian handicap | Sao Paulo -0.75 · 1.85 (-118) | Sao Paulo -0.75 · 2.00 (+100) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 2.00 (+100) | O/U 2.25 · over 1.93 (-107) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).