Scan with your phone camera Flamengo vs Fluminense — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC · 491 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 491 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Flamengo opened as the favorite at 1.44 (-229) and drifted to 1.51 (-198). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Flamengo 66% → 64%, draw 21% → 22%, Fluminense 13% → 14%. The Asian handicap moved from Flamengo -1.25 to Flamengo -1. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 7 h 35 min before kickoff: Flamengo went from 66% to 65% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Flamengo | 1.44 (-229) | 1.51 (-198) |
| Draw | 4.58 (+358) | 4.42 (+342) |
| Fluminense | 7.25 (+625) | 6.93 (+593) |
| Asian handicap | Flamengo -1.25 · 1.98 (-102) | Flamengo -1 · 1.85 (-117) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-113) | O/U 2.75 · over 2.01 (+101) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).