Sep 6, 2026 · 9:30 PM UTC · 341 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 341 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 28 h 40 min before kickoff. Palmeiras opened as the favorite at 2.20 (+120) and drifted to 2.23 (+123). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Botafogo FR RJ 29% → 29%, draw 28% → 28%, Palmeiras 43% → 43%. The Asian handicap held at Botafogo FR RJ +0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 40 minutes before kickoff: Palmeiras went from 46% to 44% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Botafogo FR RJ
3.31 (+231)
3.34 (+234)
Draw
3.43 (+243)
3.49 (+249)
Palmeiras
2.20 (+120)
2.23 (+123)
Asian handicap
Botafogo FR RJ +0.25 · 1.96 (-104)
Botafogo FR RJ +0.25 · 1.96 (-104)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.92 (-109)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Botafogo FR RJ
Total (over/under)
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