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Coritiba vs Mirassol — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 2:00 PM UTC · 251 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 251 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 10 min before kickoff. Coritiba opened as the favorite at 2.44 (+144) and drifted to 2.71 (+171). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Coritiba 40% → 36%, draw 29% → 30%, Mirassol 31% → 35%. The Asian handicap moved from Coritiba -0.25 to Coritiba 0. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 5 h 45 min before kickoff: Coritiba went from 39% to 36% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Coritiba2.44 (+144)2.71 (+171)
Draw3.27 (+227)3.26 (+226)
Mirassol3.11 (+211)2.79 (+179)
Asian handicapCoritiba -0.25 · 2.09 (+109)Coritiba 0 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.99 (-101)O/U 2.25 · over 1.93 (-107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
27%32%37%42%Coritiba 36%Draw 30%Mirassol 35%
Asian handicap · Coritiba
-0.250-0.25 → 0
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).