Bragantino vs Bahia — odds movement
Sep 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 298 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 298 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 59 h 50 min before kickoff. Bragantino opened as the favorite at 2.04 (+104) and shortened to 1.97 (-103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bragantino 47% → 49%, draw 27% → 26%, Bahia 27% → 25%. The Asian handicap held at Bragantino -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Bragantino went from 47% to 49% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Bragantino | 2.04 (+104) | 1.97 (-103) |
| Draw | 3.55 (+255) | 3.76 (+276) |
| Bahia | 3.59 (+259) | 3.85 (+285) |
| Asian handicap | Bragantino -0.5 · 2.05 (+105) | Bragantino -0.5 · 1.97 (-103) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.87 (-115) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.96 (-104) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).