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⚽ Soccer England - Premier League Final

Liverpool vs Fulham — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Liverpool opened as the favorite at 1.46 (-219) and drifted to 1.54 (-185). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Liverpool 66% → 63%, draw 19% → 21%, Fulham 14% → 16%. The Asian handicap moved from Liverpool -1.25 to Liverpool -1. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 9 h 25 min before kickoff: Liverpool went from 67% to 64% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Liverpool1.46 (-219)1.54 (-185)
Draw4.97 (+397)4.60 (+360)
Fulham6.66 (+566)6.20 (+520)
Asian handicapLiverpool -1.25 · 1.97 (-103)Liverpool -1 · 1.87 (-115)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.99 (-101)O/U 3.25 · over 2.10 (+110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
5%29%52%76%Liverpool 63%Draw 21%Fulham 16%
Asian handicap · Liverpool
-1.25-1-1.25 → -1
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).