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⚽ Soccer England - Premier League Final

Bournemouth vs Brentford — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Bournemouth opened as the favorite at 2.52 (+152) and shortened to 2.38 (+138). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bournemouth 38% → 41%, draw 26% → 27%, Brentford 36% → 32%. The Asian handicap moved from Bournemouth 0 to Bournemouth -0.25. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: Bournemouth went from 39% to 41% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Bournemouth2.52 (+152)2.38 (+138)
Draw3.74 (+274)3.62 (+262)
Brentford2.71 (+171)3.02 (+202)
Asian handicapBournemouth 0 · 1.89 (-113)Bournemouth -0.25 · 2.07 (+107)
TotalO/U 3 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%30%37%44%Bournemouth 41%Draw 27%Brentford 32%
Asian handicap · Bournemouth
-0.2500 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 2.75

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