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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Minnesota United vs FC Dallas — odds movement

Sep 9, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Minnesota United opened as the favorite at 1.85 (-118) and shortened to 1.83 (-121). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Minnesota United 51% → 53%, draw 23% → 24%, FC Dallas 25% → 23%. The Asian handicap moved from Minnesota United -0.5 to Minnesota United -0.75. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Minnesota United went from 49% to 53% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Minnesota United1.85 (-118)1.83 (-121)
Draw4.09 (+309)4.06 (+306)
FC Dallas3.74 (+274)4.13 (+313)
Asian handicapMinnesota United -0.5 · 1.86 (-116)Minnesota United -0.75 · 2.06 (+106)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.05 (+105)O/U 3.25 · over 2.04 (+104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%45%58%Minnesota United 53%Draw 24%FC Dallas 23%
Asian handicap · Minnesota United
-0.75-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.75
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).