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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — odds movement

Sep 9, 2026 · 7:45 PM ET · 653 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 653 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 40 min before kickoff. Philadelphia Union opened and closed as the favorite at 1.67 (-150). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Philadelphia Union 57% → 58%, draw 21% → 21%, FC Cincinnati 22% → 21%. The Asian handicap moved from Philadelphia Union -0.75 to Philadelphia Union -1. The total moved up from 3.5 to 3.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Philadelphia Union1.67 (-150)1.67 (-150)
Draw4.46 (+346)4.56 (+356)
FC Cincinnati4.33 (+333)4.59 (+359)
Asian handicapPhiladelphia Union -0.75 · 1.84 (-119)Philadelphia Union -1 · 2.07 (+107)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 3.75 · over 2.05 (+105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%31%48%65%Philadelphia Union 58%Draw 21%FC Cincinnati 21%
Asian handicap · Philadelphia Union
-1-0.75-0.75 → -1
Total (over/under)
3.53.753.5 → 3.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).