Sep 9, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Chicago Fire opened as the favorite at 2.22 (+122) and drifted to 2.33 (+133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chicago Fire 43% → 41%, draw 23% → 23%, Inter Miami 34% → 36%. The Asian handicap held at Chicago Fire -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.75 to 4. The sharpest single move came 16 h 20 min before kickoff: Chicago Fire went from 44% to 42% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Chicago Fire
2.22 (+122)
2.33 (+133)
Draw
4.17 (+317)
4.23 (+323)
Inter Miami
2.78 (+178)
2.71 (+171)
Asian handicap
Chicago Fire -0.25 · 1.98 (-102)
Chicago Fire -0.25 · 2.08 (+108)
Total
O/U 3.75 · over 1.88 (-114)
O/U 4 · over 1.94 (-106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Chicago Fire
Total (over/under)
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