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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Portland Timbers vs St Louis City SC — odds movement

Sep 9, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Portland Timbers opened as the favorite at 2.27 (+127) and drifted to 2.53 (+153). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Portland Timbers 42% → 38%, draw 25% → 25%, St Louis City SC 33% → 37%. The Asian handicap moved from Portland Timbers -0.25 to Portland Timbers 0. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Portland Timbers2.27 (+127)2.53 (+153)
Draw3.77 (+277)3.91 (+291)
St Louis City SC2.90 (+190)2.62 (+162)
Asian handicapPortland Timbers -0.25 · 2.00 (+100)Portland Timbers 0 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.83 (-121)O/U 3.25 · over 1.86 (-116)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%29%37%45%Portland Timbers 38%Draw 25%St Louis City SC 37%
Asian handicap · Portland Timbers
-0.250-0.25 → 0
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).