Sep 12, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Athletico Paranaense opened as the favorite at 2.62 (+162) and shortened to 2.49 (+149). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Coritiba 33% → 30%, draw 31% → 31%, Athletico Paranaense 36% → 39%. The Asian handicap moved from Coritiba 0 to Coritiba +0.25. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 20 h 30 min before kickoff: Athletico Paranaense went from 38% to 40% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Coritiba
2.91 (+191)
3.19 (+219)
Draw
3.11 (+211)
3.15 (+215)
Athletico Paranaense
2.62 (+162)
2.49 (+149)
Asian handicap
Coritiba 0 · 2.04 (+104)
Coritiba +0.25 · 1.81 (-124)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 1.93 (-107)
O/U 2.25 · over 1.93 (-107)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Coritiba
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Scan with your phone camera