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⚽ Soccer Brazil - Serie A Final

Botafogo FR RJ vs Bragantino — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Botafogo FR RJ opened as the favorite at 2.30 (+130) and drifted to 2.57 (+157). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Botafogo FR RJ 41% → 38%, draw 27% → 27%, Bragantino 31% → 35%. The Asian handicap moved from Botafogo FR RJ -0.25 to Botafogo FR RJ 0. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Bragantino went from 32% to 35% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Botafogo FR RJ2.30 (+130)2.57 (+157)
Draw3.47 (+247)3.55 (+255)
Bragantino3.07 (+207)2.76 (+176)
Asian handicapBotafogo FR RJ -0.25 · 2.00 (+100)Botafogo FR RJ 0 · 1.88 (-114)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.83 (-121)O/U 2.75 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
24%31%37%44%Botafogo FR RJ 38%Draw 27%Bragantino 35%
Asian handicap · Botafogo FR RJ
-0.250-0.25 → 0
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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