Mirassol vs Vitoria — odds movement
Sep 13, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Mirassol opened as the favorite at 1.74 (-136) and drifted to 1.90 (-111). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Mirassol 55% → 51%, draw 25% → 27%, Vitoria 20% → 22%. The Asian handicap moved from Mirassol -0.75 to Mirassol -0.5. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Mirassol went from 56% to 53% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Mirassol | 1.74 (-136) | 1.90 (-111) |
| Draw | 3.74 (+274) | 3.54 (+254) |
| Vitoria | 4.83 (+383) | 4.41 (+341) |
| Asian handicap | Mirassol -0.75 · 1.97 (-103) | Mirassol -0.5 · 1.90 (-111) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108) | O/U 2.5 · over 1.95 (-105) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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