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Mirassol vs Vitoria — odds movement

Sep 13, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Mirassol opened as the favorite at 1.74 (-136) and drifted to 1.90 (-111). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Mirassol 55% → 51%, draw 25% → 27%, Vitoria 20% → 22%. The Asian handicap moved from Mirassol -0.75 to Mirassol -0.5. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Mirassol went from 56% to 53% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Mirassol1.74 (-136)1.90 (-111)
Draw3.74 (+274)3.54 (+254)
Vitoria4.83 (+383)4.41 (+341)
Asian handicapMirassol -0.75 · 1.97 (-103)Mirassol -0.5 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 2.5 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
12%29%46%62%Mirassol 51%Draw 27%Vitoria 22%
Asian handicap · Mirassol
-0.75-0.5-0.75 → -0.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).