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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Columbus Crew opened as the favorite at 1.76 (-131) and shortened to 1.75 (-134). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Columbus Crew 54% → 55%, draw 22% → 22%, New York Red Bulls 24% → 23%. The Asian handicap held at Columbus Crew -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Columbus Crew1.76 (-131)1.75 (-134)
Draw4.32 (+332)4.37 (+337)
New York Red Bulls3.93 (+293)4.24 (+324)
Asian handicapColumbus Crew -0.75 · 1.97 (-103)Columbus Crew -0.75 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.85 (-118)O/U 3.5 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
15%31%46%61%Columbus Crew 55%Draw 22%New York Red Bulls 23%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).