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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Orlando City vs Toronto FC — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Orlando City opened as the favorite at 1.91 (-110) and shortened to 1.89 (-113). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Orlando City 50% → 51%, draw 23% → 23%, Toronto FC 27% → 26%. The Asian handicap held at Orlando City -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Orlando City1.91 (-110)1.89 (-113)
Draw4.07 (+307)4.19 (+319)
Toronto FC3.54 (+254)3.76 (+276)
Asian handicapOrlando City -0.5 · 1.92 (-109)Orlando City -0.5 · 1.89 (-112)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.82 (-122)O/U 3.5 · over 2.02 (+102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%44%57%Orlando City 51%Draw 23%Toronto FC 26%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).