Real Salt Lake vs New York City — odds movement
Sep 12, 2026 · 9:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Real Salt Lake opened as the favorite at 1.90 (-111) and drifted to 2.15 (+115). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Real Salt Lake 50% → 45%, draw 27% → 27%, New York City 23% → 28%. The Asian handicap moved from Real Salt Lake -0.5 to Real Salt Lake -0.25. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 50 h 55 min before kickoff: Real Salt Lake went from 50% to 48% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Real Salt Lake | 1.90 (-111) | 2.15 (+115) |
| Draw | 3.48 (+248) | 3.58 (+258) |
| New York City | 4.17 (+317) | 3.46 (+246) |
| Asian handicap | Real Salt Lake -0.5 · 1.91 (-110) | Real Salt Lake -0.25 · 1.87 (-115) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.81 (-123) | O/U 3 · over 2.06 (+106) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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