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Real Salt Lake vs New York City — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 9:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Real Salt Lake opened as the favorite at 1.90 (-111) and drifted to 2.15 (+115). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Real Salt Lake 50% → 45%, draw 27% → 27%, New York City 23% → 28%. The Asian handicap moved from Real Salt Lake -0.5 to Real Salt Lake -0.25. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 50 h 55 min before kickoff: Real Salt Lake went from 50% to 48% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Real Salt Lake1.90 (-111)2.15 (+115)
Draw3.48 (+248)3.58 (+258)
New York City4.17 (+317)3.46 (+246)
Asian handicapReal Salt Lake -0.5 · 1.91 (-110)Real Salt Lake -0.25 · 1.87 (-115)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.81 (-123)O/U 3 · over 2.06 (+106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%30%43%55%Real Salt Lake 45%Draw 27%New York City 28%
Asian handicap · Real Salt Lake
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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