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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Los Angeles Galaxy opened as the favorite at 2.19 (+119) and drifted to 2.28 (+128). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Los Angeles Galaxy 44% → 42%, draw 25% → 25%, Seattle Sounders 32% → 33%. The Asian handicap held at Los Angeles Galaxy -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Los Angeles Galaxy2.19 (+119)2.28 (+128)
Draw3.85 (+285)3.88 (+288)
Seattle Sounders3.00 (+200)2.96 (+196)
Asian handicapLos Angeles Galaxy -0.25 · 1.93 (-108)Los Angeles Galaxy -0.25 · 2.01 (+101)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 3.25 · over 2.04 (+104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%29%39%48%Los Angeles Galaxy 42%Draw 25%Seattle Sounders 33%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).