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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

St Louis City SC vs Minnesota United — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. St Louis City SC opened as the favorite at 2.06 (+106) and shortened to 2.03 (+103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): St Louis City SC 46% → 48%, draw 25% → 25%, Minnesota United 28% → 27%. The Asian handicap moved from St Louis City SC -0.25 to St Louis City SC -0.5. The total stayed at 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
St Louis City SC2.06 (+106)2.03 (+103)
Draw3.74 (+274)3.83 (+283)
Minnesota United3.34 (+234)3.58 (+258)
Asian handicapSt Louis City SC -0.25 · 1.81 (-123)St Louis City SC -0.5 · 2.03 (+103)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 3 · over 1.85 (-117)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%31%41%52%St Louis City SC 48%Draw 25%Minnesota United 27%
Asian handicap · St Louis City SC
-0.5-0.25-0.25 → -0.5
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).