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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

San Diego FC vs Philadelphia Union — odds movement

Sep 13, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Philadelphia Union opened as the favorite at 2.50 (+150) and shortened to 2.20 (+120). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): San Diego FC 36% → 32%, draw 26% → 24%, Philadelphia Union 38% → 44%. The Asian handicap moved from San Diego FC 0 to San Diego FC +0.25. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 30 minutes before kickoff: Philadelphia Union went from 42% to 44% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
San Diego FC2.62 (+162)3.03 (+203)
Draw3.73 (+273)3.99 (+299)
Philadelphia Union2.50 (+150)2.20 (+120)
Asian handicapSan Diego FC 0 · 1.97 (-103)San Diego FC +0.25 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.99 (-101)O/U 3.25 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%30%39%47%San Diego FC 32%Draw 24%Philadelphia Union 44%
Asian handicap · San Diego FC
0+0.250 → +0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).