Sep 18, 2026 · 8:00 PM UK · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Chelsea opened favored at 2.34 (+134), but by the last snapshot Brentford was the favorite at 2.58 (+158). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Brentford 34% → 38%, draw 25% → 26%, Chelsea 41% → 36%. The Asian handicap moved from Brentford +0.25 to Brentford 0. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 49 h 20 min before kickoff: Chelsea went from 41% to 40% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Brentford
2.86 (+186)
2.58 (+158)
Draw
3.89 (+289)
3.71 (+271)
Chelsea
2.34 (+134)
2.70 (+170)
Asian handicap
Brentford +0.25 · 1.85 (-117)
Brentford 0 · 1.92 (-109)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.99 (-101)
O/U 3.25 · over 2.12 (+112)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Brentford
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Scan with your phone camera