Sep 19, 2026 · 12:30 PM UK · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Tottenham Hotspur opened as the favorite at 2.01 (+101) and shortened to 1.88 (-114). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tottenham Hotspur 48% → 52%, draw 26% → 25%, Aston Villa 26% → 23%. The Asian handicap held at Tottenham Hotspur -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Tottenham Hotspur
2.01 (+101)
1.88 (-114)
Draw
3.71 (+271)
3.84 (+284)
Aston Villa
3.74 (+274)
4.23 (+323)
Asian handicap
Tottenham Hotspur -0.5 · 2.02 (+102)
Tottenham Hotspur -0.5 · 1.89 (-113)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-118)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.81 (-124)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
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