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⚽ Soccer England - Premier League Final

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 12:30 PM UK · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Tottenham Hotspur opened as the favorite at 2.01 (+101) and shortened to 1.88 (-114). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tottenham Hotspur 48% → 52%, draw 26% → 25%, Aston Villa 26% → 23%. The Asian handicap held at Tottenham Hotspur -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Tottenham Hotspur2.01 (+101)1.88 (-114)
Draw3.71 (+271)3.84 (+284)
Aston Villa3.74 (+274)4.23 (+323)
Asian handicapTottenham Hotspur -0.5 · 2.02 (+102)Tottenham Hotspur -0.5 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-118)O/U 2.75 · over 1.81 (-124)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%44%57%Tottenham Hotspur 52%Draw 25%Aston Villa 23%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).