Sep 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM UK · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Newcastle United opened as the favorite at 1.63 (-159) and shortened to 1.62 (-162). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Newcastle United 59% → 60%, draw 22% → 22%, Hull City 19% → 18%. The Asian handicap held at Newcastle United -1 the whole way. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Newcastle United
1.63 (-159)
1.62 (-162)
Draw
4.38 (+338)
4.33 (+333)
Hull City
5.12 (+412)
5.30 (+430)
Asian handicap
Newcastle United -1 · 2.04 (+104)
Newcastle United -1 · 2.06 (+106)
Total
O/U 3 · over 2.06 (+106)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-118)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-1)
Total (over/under)
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