Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia — odds movement
Sep 20, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Athletico Paranaense opened as the favorite at 2.15 (+115) and drifted to 2.41 (+141). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Athletico Paranaense 44% → 40%, draw 28% → 29%, Bahia 28% → 31%. The Asian handicap held at Athletico Paranaense -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Athletico Paranaense | 2.15 (+115) | 2.41 (+141) |
| Draw | 3.45 (+245) | 3.33 (+233) |
| Bahia | 3.42 (+242) | 3.15 (+215) |
| Asian handicap | Athletico Paranaense -0.25 · 1.86 (-116) | Athletico Paranaense -0.25 · 2.06 (+106) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.91 (-110) | O/U 2.5 · over 1.94 (-106) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).