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⚽ Soccer Brazil - Serie A Final

Sao Paulo vs Internacional — odds movement

Sep 20, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC · 488 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 488 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 40 h 55 min before kickoff. Sao Paulo opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-120) and drifted to 2.01 (+101). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sao Paulo 52% → 48%, draw 26% → 29%, Internacional 22% → 22%. The Asian handicap held at Sao Paulo -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 34 h 25 min before kickoff: Sao Paulo went from 52% to 50% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Sao Paulo1.83 (-120)2.01 (+101)
Draw3.67 (+267)3.28 (+228)
Internacional4.30 (+330)4.31 (+331)
Asian handicapSao Paulo -0.5 · 1.84 (-119)Sao Paulo -0.5 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.81 (-124)O/U 2.25 · over 2.01 (+101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%29%43%58%Sao Paulo 48%Draw 29%Internacional 22%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
22.252.25 → 2.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).