Sep 20, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC · 488 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 488 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 40 h 55 min before kickoff. Sao Paulo opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-120) and drifted to 2.01 (+101). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sao Paulo 52% → 48%, draw 26% → 29%, Internacional 22% → 22%. The Asian handicap held at Sao Paulo -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 34 h 25 min before kickoff: Sao Paulo went from 52% to 50% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Sao Paulo
1.83 (-120)
2.01 (+101)
Draw
3.67 (+267)
3.28 (+228)
Internacional
4.30 (+330)
4.31 (+331)
Asian handicap
Sao Paulo -0.5 · 1.84 (-119)
Sao Paulo -0.5 · 2.02 (+102)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 1.81 (-124)
O/U 2.25 · over 2.01 (+101)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
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