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⚽ Soccer Brazil - Serie A Final

Vitoria vs Cruzeiro — odds movement

Sep 20, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Cruzeiro opened as the favorite at 2.43 (+143) and shortened to 2.30 (+130). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Vitoria 32% → 30%, draw 29% → 28%, Cruzeiro 39% → 42%. The Asian handicap held at Vitoria +0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Vitoria3.01 (+201)3.20 (+220)
Draw3.29 (+229)3.49 (+249)
Cruzeiro2.43 (+143)2.30 (+130)
Asian handicapVitoria +0.25 · 1.79 (-127)Vitoria +0.25 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 2.75 · over 2.01 (+101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
25%31%38%45%Vitoria 30%Draw 28%Cruzeiro 42%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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