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Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake — odds movement

Sep 23, 2026 · 9:30 PM ET · 648 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 648 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Seattle Sounders opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-108) and shortened to 1.78 (-129). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Seattle Sounders 49% → 54%, draw 25% → 24%, Real Salt Lake 26% → 22%. The Asian handicap moved from Seattle Sounders -0.5 to Seattle Sounders -0.75. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 11 h 30 min before kickoff: Seattle Sounders went from 56% to 53% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Seattle Sounders1.93 (-108)1.78 (-129)
Draw3.85 (+285)4.06 (+306)
Real Salt Lake3.67 (+267)4.40 (+340)
Asian handicapSeattle Sounders -0.5 · 1.93 (-107)Seattle Sounders -0.75 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 3.25 · over 1.99 (-101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%31%47%63%Seattle Sounders 54%Draw 24%Real Salt Lake 22%
Asian handicap · Seattle Sounders
-0.75-0.5-0.5 → -0.75
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).