Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake — odds movement
Sep 23, 2026 · 9:30 PM ET · 648 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 648 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Seattle Sounders opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-108) and shortened to 1.78 (-129). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Seattle Sounders 49% → 54%, draw 25% → 24%, Real Salt Lake 26% → 22%. The Asian handicap moved from Seattle Sounders -0.5 to Seattle Sounders -0.75. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 11 h 30 min before kickoff: Seattle Sounders went from 56% to 53% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Seattle Sounders
1.93 (-108)
1.78 (-129)
Draw
3.85 (+285)
4.06 (+306)
Real Salt Lake
3.67 (+267)
4.40 (+340)
Asian handicap
Seattle Sounders -0.5 · 1.93 (-107)
Seattle Sounders -0.75 · 2.00 (+100)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.97 (-103)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.99 (-101)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Seattle Sounders
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.