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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Minnesota United vs Los Angeles Galaxy — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Minnesota United opened as the favorite at 1.66 (-151) and drifted to 1.67 (-150). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Minnesota United 57% → 58%, draw 21% → 21%, Los Angeles Galaxy 22% → 21%. The Asian handicap moved from Minnesota United -0.75 to Minnesota United -1. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 9 h 20 min before kickoff: Minnesota United went from 60% to 57% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Minnesota United1.66 (-151)1.67 (-150)
Draw4.51 (+351)4.53 (+353)
Los Angeles Galaxy4.31 (+331)4.64 (+364)
Asian handicapMinnesota United -0.75 · 1.83 (-120)Minnesota United -1 · 2.09 (+109)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.92 (-109)O/U 3.25 · over 1.86 (-116)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
12%31%50%68%Minnesota United 58%Draw 21%Los Angeles Galaxy 21%
Asian handicap · Minnesota United
-1-0.75-0.75 → -1
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).