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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

St Louis City SC vs Toronto FC — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 635 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 635 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. St Louis City SC opened as the favorite at 1.65 (-154) and shortened to 1.63 (-158). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): St Louis City SC 57% → 59%, draw 22% → 22%, Toronto FC 21% → 19%. The Asian handicap moved from St Louis City SC -0.75 to St Louis City SC -1. The total stayed at 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
St Louis City SC1.65 (-154)1.63 (-158)
Draw4.36 (+336)4.46 (+346)
Toronto FC4.57 (+357)4.98 (+398)
Asian handicapSt Louis City SC -0.75 · 1.81 (-123)St Louis City SC -1 · 2.03 (+103)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.98 (-102)O/U 3.25 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
12%30%48%66%St Louis City SC 59%Draw 22%Toronto FC 19%
Asian handicap · St Louis City SC
-1-0.75-0.75 → -1
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).