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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 9:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Nashville SC opened as the favorite at 1.80 (-125) and drifted to 1.82 (-122). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Nashville SC 53% → 53%, draw 24% → 24%, Chicago Fire 24% → 23%. The Asian handicap held at Nashville SC -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Nashville SC1.80 (-125)1.82 (-122)
Draw4.02 (+302)4.05 (+305)
Chicago Fire4.02 (+302)4.18 (+318)
Asian handicapNashville SC -0.75 · 2.03 (+103)Nashville SC -0.75 · 2.05 (+105)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.85 (-118)O/U 3.25 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%31%46%60%Nashville SC 53%Draw 24%Chicago Fire 23%
Asian handicap · Nashville SC
-0.75-0.5-0.75 → -0.75
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).