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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

New England Revolution vs Orlando City — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. New England Revolution opened as the favorite at 1.86 (-116) and shortened to 1.75 (-133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New England Revolution 51% → 55%, draw 23% → 22%, Orlando City 26% → 23%. The Asian handicap moved from New England Revolution -0.5 to New England Revolution -0.75. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 17 h 55 min before kickoff: New England Revolution went from 51% to 55% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
New England Revolution1.86 (-116)1.75 (-133)
Draw4.14 (+314)4.41 (+341)
Orlando City3.64 (+264)4.18 (+318)
Asian handicapNew England Revolution -0.5 · 1.87 (-115)New England Revolution -0.75 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.83 (-120)O/U 3.5 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
15%31%47%63%New England Revolution 55%Draw 22%Orlando City 23%
Asian handicap · New England Revolution
-0.75-0.5-0.5 → -0.75
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).