Sep 19, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Houston Dynamo opened as the favorite at 1.87 (-115) and drifted to 2.03 (+103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Houston Dynamo 51% → 48%, draw 23% → 25%, FC Cincinnati 26% → 27%. The Asian handicap held at Houston Dynamo -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 7 h 30 min before kickoff: Houston Dynamo went from 51% to 47% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Houston Dynamo
1.87 (-115)
2.03 (+103)
Draw
4.05 (+305)
3.85 (+285)
FC Cincinnati
3.69 (+269)
3.55 (+255)
Asian handicap
Houston Dynamo -0.5 · 1.88 (-114)
Houston Dynamo -0.5 · 2.04 (+104)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.87 (-115)
O/U 3 · over 1.93 (-108)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)
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