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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga Final

Estoril vs Casa Pia — odds movement

Sep 20, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Estoril opened as the favorite at 1.71 (-140) and drifted to 1.72 (-138). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Estoril 55% → 56%, draw 25% → 25%, Casa Pia 20% → 19%. The Asian handicap held at Estoril -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Estoril1.71 (-140)1.72 (-138)
Draw3.85 (+285)3.92 (+292)
Casa Pia4.76 (+376)4.98 (+398)
Asian handicapEstoril -0.75 · 1.94 (-106)Estoril -0.75 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.87 (-115)O/U 2.75 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
13%29%46%63%Estoril 56%Draw 25%Casa Pia 19%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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