Estoril vs Casa Pia — odds movement
Sep 20, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Estoril opened as the favorite at 1.71 (-140) and drifted to 1.72 (-138). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Estoril 55% → 56%, draw 25% → 25%, Casa Pia 20% → 19%. The Asian handicap held at Estoril -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Estoril | 1.71 (-140) | 1.72 (-138) |
| Draw | 3.85 (+285) | 3.92 (+292) |
| Casa Pia | 4.76 (+376) | 4.98 (+398) |
| Asian handicap | Estoril -0.75 · 1.94 (-106) | Estoril -0.75 · 1.95 (-105) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.87 (-115) | O/U 2.75 · over 2.03 (+103) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).