Oct 9, 2026 · 5:45 PM UTC · 505 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 505 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Gil Vicente opened as the favorite at 2.29 (+129) and drifted to 2.35 (+135). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Moreirense 28% → 28%, draw 30% → 31%, Gil Vicente 42% → 41%. The Asian handicap held at Moreirense +0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 10 h 40 min before kickoff: Gil Vicente went from 44% to 41% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Moreirense
3.40 (+240)
3.43 (+243)
Draw
3.14 (+214)
3.15 (+215)
Gil Vicente
2.29 (+129)
2.35 (+135)
Asian handicap
Moreirense +0.25 · 1.90 (-111)
Moreirense +0.25 · 1.90 (-111)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 1.96 (-104)
O/U 2.25 · over 2.06 (+106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Scan with your phone camera