Oct 9, 2026 · 7:15 PM UTC · 505 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 505 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Sporting CP opened as the favorite at 2.06 (+106) and drifted to 2.46 (+146). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Braga 27% → 30%, draw 27% → 30%, Sporting CP 46% → 39%. The Asian handicap moved from Braga +0.5 to Braga +0.25. The total moved down from 2.5 to 2.25. The sharpest single move came 1 hour before kickoff: Sporting CP went from 41% to 38% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Braga
3.58 (+258)
3.20 (+220)
Draw
3.50 (+250)
3.18 (+218)
Sporting CP
2.06 (+106)
2.46 (+146)
Asian handicap
Braga +0.5 · 1.80 (-125)
Braga +0.25 · 1.83 (-121)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-107)
O/U 2.25 · over 1.93 (-107)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Braga
Total (over/under)
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