Scan with your phone camera Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 122 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 122 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 10 h 25 min before kickoff. Benfica opened as the favorite at 1.20 (-507) and drifted to 1.22 (-457). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Benfica 80% → 79%, draw 13% → 13%, Vitoria Guimaraes 7% → 8%. The Asian handicap moved from Benfica -2 to Benfica -1.75. The total stayed at 3.25.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Benfica | 1.20 (-507) | 1.22 (-457) |
| Draw | 7.37 (+637) | 7.32 (+632) |
| Vitoria Guimaraes | 14.00 (+1300) | 11.61 (+1061) |
| Asian handicap | Benfica -2 · 2.02 (+102) | Benfica -1.75 · 1.90 (-111) |
| Total | O/U 3.25 · over 1.95 (-105) | O/U 3.25 · over 1.89 (-112) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).