Scan with your phone camera Rio Ave vs Nacional da Madeira — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 2:30 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 20 min before kickoff. Rio Ave opened as the favorite at 2.33 (+133) and shortened to 2.14 (+114). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Rio Ave 41% → 45%, draw 30% → 29%, Nacional da Madeira 29% → 26%. The Asian handicap held at Rio Ave -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.25 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 10 min before kickoff: Rio Ave went from 44% to 45% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Rio Ave | 2.33 (+133) | 2.14 (+114) |
| Draw | 3.18 (+218) | 3.31 (+231) |
| Nacional da Madeira | 3.27 (+227) | 3.76 (+276) |
| Asian handicap | Rio Ave -0.25 · 1.99 (-101) | Rio Ave -0.25 · 1.84 (-119) |
| Total | O/U 2.25 · over 1.83 (-120) | O/U 2.5 · over 1.98 (-102) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).