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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City — odds movement

Sep 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 626 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 626 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Philadelphia Union opened as the favorite at 1.43 (-230) and drifted to 1.56 (-180). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Philadelphia Union 66% → 62%, draw 18% → 19%, Orlando City 16% → 19%. The Asian handicap held at Philadelphia Union -1.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Philadelphia Union1.43 (-230)1.56 (-180)
Draw5.26 (+426)5.00 (+400)
Orlando City5.87 (+487)5.12 (+412)
Asian handicapPhiladelphia Union -1.25 · 1.85 (-117)Philadelphia Union -1.25 · 2.07 (+107)
TotalO/U 3.75 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 3.75 · over 1.84 (-119)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%30%53%75%Philadelphia Union 62%Draw 19%Orlando City 19%
Asian handicap · Philadelphia Union
-1.5-1.25-1-1.25 → -1.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.75)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).