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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Austin FC vs San Diego FC — odds movement

Sep 26, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Austin FC opened favored at 2.46 (+146), but by the last snapshot San Diego FC was the favorite at 2.49 (+149). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Austin FC 39% → 36%, draw 27% → 25%, San Diego FC 35% → 39%. The Asian handicap held at Austin FC 0 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: San Diego FC went from 36% to 38% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Austin FC2.46 (+146)2.70 (+170)
Draw3.58 (+258)3.82 (+282)
San Diego FC2.76 (+176)2.49 (+149)
Asian handicapAustin FC 0 · 1.82 (-122)Austin FC 0 · 2.03 (+103)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.99 (-101)O/U 3 · over 1.99 (-101)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%29%35%41%Austin FC 36%Draw 25%San Diego FC 39%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (0)
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).