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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City — odds movement

Sep 26, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Houston Dynamo opened as the favorite at 1.50 (-201) and drifted to 1.64 (-157). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Houston Dynamo 63% → 59%, draw 21% → 22%, Sporting Kansas City 16% → 19%. The Asian handicap held at Houston Dynamo -1 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 31 h 35 min before kickoff: Houston Dynamo went from 65% to 63% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Houston Dynamo1.50 (-201)1.64 (-157)
Draw4.60 (+360)4.34 (+334)
Sporting Kansas City5.83 (+483)5.10 (+410)
Asian handicapHouston Dynamo -1 · 1.83 (-120)Houston Dynamo -1 · 2.10 (+110)
TotalO/U 3 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 3 · over 2.02 (+102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
6%29%51%74%Houston Dynamo 59%Draw 22%Sporting Kansas City 19%
Asian handicap · Houston Dynamo
-1.25-1-1 → -1
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).