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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati — odds movement

Sep 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. FC Cincinnati opened as the favorite at 2.42 (+142) and shortened to 2.33 (+133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): CF Montreal 36% → 34%, draw 25% → 25%, FC Cincinnati 39% → 41%. The Asian handicap moved from CF Montreal 0 to CF Montreal +0.25. The total stayed at 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
CF Montreal2.66 (+166)2.86 (+186)
Draw3.84 (+284)3.91 (+291)
FC Cincinnati2.42 (+142)2.33 (+133)
Asian handicapCF Montreal 0 · 2.03 (+103)CF Montreal +0.25 · 1.85 (-117)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 3.25 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%29%37%45%CF Montreal 34%Draw 25%FC Cincinnati 41%
Asian handicap · CF Montreal
0+0.250 → +0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).