New York Red Bulls vs St Louis City SC — odds movement
Sep 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · 641 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 641 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. St Louis City SC opened as the favorite at 1.98 (-102) and shortened to 1.89 (-113). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): New York Red Bulls 29% → 26%, draw 23% → 23%, St Louis City SC 48% → 51%. The Asian handicap held at New York Red Bulls +0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 33 h 40 min before kickoff: St Louis City SC went from 47% to 49% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
New York Red Bulls
3.30 (+230)
3.76 (+276)
Draw
4.09 (+309)
4.20 (+320)
St Louis City SC
1.98 (-102)
1.89 (-113)
Asian handicap
New York Red Bulls +0.5 · 1.86 (-116)
New York Red Bulls +0.5 · 2.02 (+102)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.85 (-118)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.89 (-113)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)
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