Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution — odds movement
Sep 26, 2026 · 9:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Real Salt Lake opened as the favorite at 2.31 (+131) and shortened to 2.12 (+112). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Real Salt Lake 41% → 46%, draw 25% → 25%, New England Revolution 34% → 30%. The Asian handicap held at Real Salt Lake -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 11 h 55 min before kickoff: Real Salt Lake went from 40% to 42% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Real Salt Lake
2.31 (+131)
2.12 (+112)
Draw
3.82 (+282)
3.90 (+290)
New England Revolution
2.82 (+182)
3.27 (+227)
Asian handicap
Real Salt Lake -0.25 · 2.03 (+103)
Real Salt Lake -0.25 · 1.86 (-116)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.92 (-109)
O/U 3 · over 1.89 (-112)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Real Salt Lake
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.