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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution — odds movement

Sep 26, 2026 · 9:30 PM ET · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Real Salt Lake opened as the favorite at 2.31 (+131) and shortened to 2.12 (+112). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Real Salt Lake 41% → 46%, draw 25% → 25%, New England Revolution 34% → 30%. The Asian handicap held at Real Salt Lake -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 11 h 55 min before kickoff: Real Salt Lake went from 40% to 42% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Real Salt Lake2.31 (+131)2.12 (+112)
Draw3.82 (+282)3.90 (+290)
New England Revolution2.82 (+182)3.27 (+227)
Asian handicapReal Salt Lake -0.25 · 2.03 (+103)Real Salt Lake -0.25 · 1.86 (-116)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.92 (-109)O/U 3 · over 1.89 (-112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%30%40%49%Real Salt Lake 46%Draw 25%New England Revolution 30%
Asian handicap · Real Salt Lake
-0.250-0.25 → -0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).